ATK Mohun Bagan vs Bengaluru: prediction and stats
Indian Super LeagueMatchday 8Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan Stadium, Kolkata
The Footlab AI model makes ATK Mohun Bagan the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Bengaluru. The most likely score is 1-1. If ATK Mohun Bagan wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,450 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs Bengaluru?
On Elo ratings, ATK Mohun Bagan has 1,640 points and Bengaluru 1,558.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Bengaluru
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ATK Mohun Bagan
4-4-2- 19L. Erwin
- 71D. Dražić
- 8S. Zeljković
- 11M. Singh
- 6A. Thapa
- 22D. Tangri
- 27T. Singh
- 21Alberto Rodríguez
- 5Mehtab Singh
- 15S. Bose
- 1V. Kaith
Bengaluru
4-1-4-1- 11S. Chhetri
- 10R. Williams
- 23L. Fanai
- 5M. de Iriondo
- 7Borja Giner
- 8S. Wangjam
- 4C. Konsham
- 18R. Meetei
- 3M. Koch
- 6Sandro Sakho
- 1G. Singh Sandhu
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 04:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ATK Mohun Bagan have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Bengaluru have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Odisha(home) | 3-2 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Minerva Punjab(home) | 2-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Chennaiyin(home) | 1-0 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | SC Delhi(away) | 2-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | NorthEast United(away) | 0-1 | Indian Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Goa(away) | 2-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | NorthEast United(away) | 1-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chennaiyin(home) | 2-0 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | SC Delhi(home) | 3-2 | Indian Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Chennaiyin(away) | 2-1 | Indian Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 ATK Mohun Bagan wins, 1 draw, 1 Bengaluru win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Bengaluru 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan | Indian Super League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 Bengaluru | Indian Super League |
| Jan 27, 2025 | ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 Bengaluru | Indian Super League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Bengaluru 3-0 ATK Mohun Bagan | Indian Super League |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Bengaluru 0-4 ATK Mohun Bagan | Indian Super League |
| Sep 27, 2023 | ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 Bengaluru | Indian Super League |
Last archived meeting: Bengaluru vs ATK Mohun Bagan on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ATK Mohun Bagan score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bengaluru score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATK Mohun Bagan | 1.6 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Bengaluru | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ATK Mohun Bagan sit 1st in Indian Super League (12 points from 5 matches) and Bengaluru sit 3rd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ATK Mohun Bagan | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Bengaluru | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
A question about ATK Mohun Bagan vs Bengaluru?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Bengaluru?
- The Footlab AI model makes ATK Mohun Bagan the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Bengaluru.
- Where and when is ATK Mohun Bagan vs Bengaluru played?
- ATK Mohun Bagan vs Bengaluru is played on December 9, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan Stadium, in the Indian Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.