ATK Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters: prediction and stats
Indian Super LeagueMatchday 12Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan Stadium, Kolkata
The Footlab AI model makes ATK Mohun Bagan the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Kerala Blasters. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,511 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters?
ATK Mohun Bagan starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (1,640 vs 1,438).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ATK Mohun Bagan
4-4-2- 19L. Erwin
- 71D. Dražić
- 8S. Zeljković
- 11M. Singh
- 6A. Thapa
- 22D. Tangri
- 27T. Singh
- 21Alberto Rodríguez
- 5Mehtab Singh
- 15S. Bose
- 1V. Kaith
Kerala Blasters
4-2-3-1- 9A. Green
- 6F. Lallawmawma
- 10A. Luna
- 23N. Kosović
- 7K. Singh
- 11M. Sanan
- 27A. Dohling
- 13J. Bolton
- 4H. Ruivah
- 50N. Singh
- 1A. Singh
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 06:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ATK Mohun Bagan have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Kerala Blasters have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Odisha(home) | 3-2 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Minerva Punjab(home) | 2-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Chennaiyin(home) | 1-0 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | SC Delhi(away) | 2-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | NorthEast United(away) | 0-1 | Indian Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chennaiyin(away) | 0-0 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mumbai City(home) | 0-0 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NorthEast United(away) | 1-4 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Inter Kashi(away) | 2-0 | Indian Super League |
| May 18, 2026 | Goa(home) | 2-1 | Indian Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 ATK Mohun Bagan wins, 0 draws, 1 Kerala Blasters win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 Kerala Blasters | Indian Super League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Kerala Blasters 1-2 ATK Mohun Bagan | AIFF Super Cup |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Kerala Blasters 0-3 ATK Mohun Bagan | Indian Super League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | ATK Mohun Bagan 3-2 Kerala Blasters | Indian Super League |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Kerala Blasters 3-4 ATK Mohun Bagan | Indian Super League |
| Dec 27, 2023 | ATK Mohun Bagan 0-1 Kerala Blasters | Indian Super League |
Last archived meeting: ATK Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ATK Mohun Bagan score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kerala Blasters score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATK Mohun Bagan | 1.6 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Kerala Blasters | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ATK Mohun Bagan sit 1st in Indian Super League (12 points from 5 matches) and Kerala Blasters sit 9th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ATK Mohun Bagan | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 | Kerala Blasters | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
A question about ATK Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters?
- The Footlab AI model makes ATK Mohun Bagan the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Kerala Blasters.
- Where and when is ATK Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters played?
- ATK Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters is played on January 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan Stadium, in the Indian Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.