ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha: prediction and stats
Indian Super LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan Stadium, Kolkata
The Footlab AI model makes ATK Mohun Bagan the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Odisha. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha?
ATK Mohun Bagan starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,654 vs 1,453).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ATK Mohun Bagan
4-4-2- 19L. Erwin
- 18S. Samad
- 71D. Dražić
- 8S. Zeljković
- 11M. Singh
- 22D. Tangri
- 27T. Singh
- 21Alberto Rodríguez
- 2R. Bheke
- 5Mehtab Singh
- 1V. Kaith
Odisha
4-2-3-1- 93Mahmoud Eid
- 7L. Khawlhring
- 29G. Aburjania
- 11R. Ali
- 22N. Sekar
- 12Manu Molina
- 24M. Thoiba
- 66S. Eze
- 34V. Chhakchhuak
- 13S. Gama
- 55H. Tiwari
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ATK Mohun Bagan have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Odisha have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Minerva Punjab(home) | 2-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Chennaiyin(home) | 1-0 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | SC Delhi(away) | 2-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | NorthEast United(away) | 0-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | East Bengal II(home) | 1-0 | IFA Shield |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | NorthEast United(home) | 0-0 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Inter Kashi(away) | 1-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Minerva Punjab(away) | 1-2 | Indian Super League |
| May 21, 2026 | Jamshedpur(away) | 0-0 | Indian Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Minerva Punjab(home) | 2-3 | Indian Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 ATK Mohun Bagan wins, 2 draws, 1 Odisha win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | ATK Mohun Bagan 5-1 Odisha | Indian Super League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 Odisha | Indian Super League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Odisha 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan | Indian Super League |
| Apr 28, 2024 | ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 Odisha | Indian Super League |
| Apr 23, 2024 | Odisha 2-1 ATK Mohun Bagan | Indian Super League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Odisha 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan | Indian Super League |
Last archived meeting: ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ATK Mohun Bagan score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Odisha score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATK Mohun Bagan | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Odisha | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ATK Mohun Bagan sit 1st in Indian Super League (9 points from 4 matches) and Odisha sit 10th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ATK Mohun Bagan | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Odisha | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
A question about ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha?
- The Footlab AI model makes ATK Mohun Bagan the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Odisha.
- Where and when is ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha played?
- ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha is played on November 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan Stadium, in the Indian Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.