Atlanta United II vs Connecticut FC: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 8, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Fifth Third Bank Stadium, Kennesaw, Georgia
The Footlab model makes Atlanta United II the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Connecticut FC. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlanta United II vs Connecticut FC?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Atlanta United II (1,663) and Connecticut FC (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlanta United II have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Connecticut FC have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Orlando City II(home) | 5-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chicago Fire II(home) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 14, 2026 | New York RB II(home) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chattanooga(away) | 0-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Carolina Core(home) | 3-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Philadelphia Union II(away) | 4-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Crown Legacy(away) | 2-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Cincinnati II(away) | 3-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 9, 2026 | New England II(home) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Orlando City II(home) | 4-2 | MLS Next Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlanta United II score 2.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Connecticut FC score 2.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United II | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Connecticut FC | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlanta United II sit 3rd in MLS Next Pro (40 points from 24 matches) and Connecticut FC sit 3rd (43 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut FC | 24 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 43 |
| 3 | Atlanta United II | 24 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 38 | 40 |
| 3 | Connecticut FC | 24 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 43 |
| 6 | Atlanta United II | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 37 | 37 |
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 24 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 38 | 40 |
| 7 | Connecticut FC | 22 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlanta United II vs Connecticut FC?
- The Footlab model makes Atlanta United II the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Connecticut FC.
- Where and when is Atlanta United II vs Connecticut FC played?
- Atlanta United II vs Connecticut FC is played on September 8, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Fifth Third Bank Stadium, in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC