Atlas vs Toluca: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 10Kick-off on September 21, 2019 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
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What was the result of Atlas vs Toluca?
Toluca won 0-1 on September 21, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 41′William Fernando da SilvaToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlas have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Toluca have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2019 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Club America(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 28, 2019 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 25, 2019 | CF Pachuca(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2019 | Monarcas(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(away) | 4-1 | Copa MX |
| Sep 1, 2019 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 29, 2019 | Necaxa(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atlas win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | Toluca 2-0 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Atlas 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 20, 2018 | Atlas 1-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Toluca 3-2 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Jan 8, 2017 | Toluca 4-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Jul 17, 2016 | Atlas 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlas score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlas sit 9th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy