Atlas vs Toluca: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 4Kick-off on August 14, 2020 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
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What was the result of Atlas vs Toluca?
Toluca won 1-2 on August 14, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 22′A. CaneloToluca (pen.)
- 28′V. MalcorraAtlas (pen.)
- 57′R. SambuezaToluca (pen.)
Official lineup for Atlas vs Toluca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atlas
4-2-3-1- 199O. Herrera
- 11J. Correa
- 6É. Zaldívar
- 10L. Acosta
- 26Jesús Antonio Isijara Rodríguez
- 21L. Reyes
- 7V. Malcorra
- 27J. Angulo
- 30G. Conti
- 2M. Nervo
- 12C. Vargas
Toluca
4-3-1-2- 13M. Estrada
- 27D. González
- 7A. Medina
- 3R. López
- 25A. Canelo
- 16J. Güémez
- 14R. Sambueza
- 8William Fernando da Silva
- 4A. Mora
- 2G. Sauro
- 22L. García
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlas have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Toluca have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2020 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 4, 2020 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 26, 2020 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Jul 12, 2020 | Tigres UANL(home) | 2-2 | Copa por México |
| Jul 8, 2020 | Mazatlán(home) | 1-0 | Copa por México |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2020 | Mazatlán(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 2, 2020 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 29, 2020 | Monterrey(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Jul 13, 2020 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-0 | Copa por México |
| Jul 9, 2020 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Copa por México |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atlas wins, 0 draws, 3 Toluca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2020 | Toluca 2-3 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Toluca 3-2 Atlas | Copa MX |
| Jan 23, 2020 | Atlas 2-1 Toluca | Copa MX |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Atlas 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Toluca 2-0 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Atlas 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlas score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.5 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Toluca | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlas sit 6th in Liga MX (18 points from 11 matches) and Toluca sit 2nd (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 6 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
A question about Atlas vs Toluca?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy