Atlas vs Toluca: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 4Kick-off on August 14, 2020 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Full time
What was the result of Atlas vs Toluca?
Toluca won 1-2 on August 14, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 22′A. CaneloToluca (pen.)
- 28′V. MalcorraAtlas (pen.)
- 57′R. SambuezaToluca (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlas have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Toluca have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2020 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 4, 2020 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 26, 2020 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Jul 12, 2020 | Tigres UANL(home) | 2-2 | Copa por México |
| Jul 8, 2020 | Mazatlán(home) | 1-0 | Copa por México |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2020 | Mazatlán(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 2, 2020 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 29, 2020 | Monterrey(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Jul 13, 2020 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-0 | Copa por México |
| Jul 9, 2020 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Copa por México |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atlas win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2020 | Toluca 2-3 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Toluca 3-2 Atlas | Copa MX |
| Jan 23, 2020 | Atlas 2-1 Toluca | Copa MX |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Atlas 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Toluca 2-0 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Atlas 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlas score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.5 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Toluca | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlas sit 9th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy