Atlet vs Penuel: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Atlet, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Atlet the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Penuel. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlet vs Penuel?
Atlet starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,512 vs 1,406).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlet have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Penuel have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trostianets(home) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Rebel(home) | 2-3 | Druha Liga |
| May 15, 2026 | Skala 1911 Stryi(away) | 1-3 | Druha Liga |
| May 10, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| May 6, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil II(away) | 1-3 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Metalurh Zaporizhya(away) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Poltava 2(home) | 1-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karbon Cherkasy(away) | 1-0 | Druha Liga |
| May 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 0-2 | Druha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlet score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Penuel score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlet | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Penuel | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlet sit 8th in Druha Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Penuel sit 4th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Penuel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Atlet | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlet vs Penuel?
- The Footlab model makes Atlet the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Penuel.
- Where and when is Atlet vs Penuel played?
- Atlet vs Penuel is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Atlet, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.