Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Camp de Futbol d'Aixovall, Sant Julià de Lòria
The Footlab model makes Atlètic Club d'Escaldes the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Penya Encarnada. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada?
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (1,702 vs 1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Penya Encarnada have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Vaduz(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Vaduz(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Mornar(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 23, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma(away) | 3-2 | Copa Constitució |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| May 10, 2026 | Ranger's(home) | 1-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ordino(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 18, 2026 | UE Santa Coloma(home) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Penya Encarnada win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 2-0 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 2-0 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Penya Encarnada 0-2 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes | 1a Divisió |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1-0 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 6-1 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Penya Encarnada 0-0 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes | 1a Divisió |
Last archived meeting: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Penya Encarnada score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlètic Club d'Escaldes | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Penya Encarnada | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes sit 5th in 1a Divisió (34 points from 24 matches) and Penya Encarnada sit 6th (24 points from 24 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 34 |
| 6 | Penya Encarnada | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada?
- The Footlab model makes Atlètic Club d'Escaldes the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Penya Encarnada.
- Where and when is Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada played?
- Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada is played on April 25, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Camp de Futbol d'Aixovall, in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.