Atlético Albericia vs Cayón: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Hormaechea, Santander
The Footlab model makes Atlético Albericia the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Cayón. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Albericia vs Cayón?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Atlético Albericia (1,811) and Cayón (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Albericia have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cayón have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Selaya(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 3, 2026 | Escobedo(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vimenor(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bezana(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Vimenor(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cartes(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Revilla(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atlético Albericia win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Cayón win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Cayón 2-1 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Atlético Albericia 3-0 Cayón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 24, 2025 | Atlético Albericia 2-3 Cayón | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 18, 2025 | Cayón 2-1 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Atlético Albericia 0-1 Cayón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Cayón 2-4 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Cayón vs Atlético Albericia on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Albericia score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cayón score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Albericia | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Cayón | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Albericia sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (56 points from 34 matches) and Cayón sit 8th (56 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atlético Albericia | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61 | 45 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayón | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50 | 41 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Albericia vs Cayón?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Albericia the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Cayón.
- Where and when is Atlético Albericia vs Cayón played?
- Atlético Albericia vs Cayón is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Hormaechea, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.