Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 24Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Antônio Accioly, Goiânia, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Atletico Goianiense the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Botafogo SP. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Atletico Goianiense (1,862) and Botafogo SP (1,830).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Goianiense have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Botafogo SP have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Operario-PR(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | São Bernardo(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 4-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico Goianiense win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Botafogo SP win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Botafogo SP 1-1 Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Atletico Goianiense 2-0 Botafogo SP | Serie B |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Botafogo SP 1-1 Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Botafogo SP 1-0 Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
| May 27, 2023 | Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Botafogo SP | Serie B |
| Oct 17, 2019 | Botafogo SP 0-0 Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Botafogo SP vs Atletico Goianiense on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Goianiense score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Botafogo SP score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Goianiense | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Botafogo SP | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Goianiense sit 11th in Serie B (33 points from 23 matches) and Botafogo SP sit 14th (31 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Atletico Goianiense | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 33 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Goianiense the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Botafogo SP.
- Where and when is Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP played?
- Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP is played on August 25, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Antônio Accioly, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.