Atletico Hidalgo vs Deportivo Ayense: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie BApertura - 15Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Ayense the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Atletico Hidalgo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Hidalgo vs Deportivo Ayense?
Deportivo Ayense starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Hidalgo have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Deportivo Ayense have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Cordobés(home) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Deportivo Zap(away) | 0-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 18, 2026 | FC Santiago(away) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Real Apodaca(away) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | FC Racing(away) | 2-2 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 26, 2026 | FC Racing(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 15, 2026 | FC Racing(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Huracanes Izcalli(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Hidalgo score 0.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Ayense score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Hidalgo | 0.7 | 2.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Deportivo Ayense | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Deportivo Ayense | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Hidalgo vs Deportivo Ayense?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Ayense the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Atletico Hidalgo.
- Where and when is Atletico Hidalgo vs Deportivo Ayense played?
- Atletico Hidalgo vs Deportivo Ayense is played on March 7, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.