Atletico Hidalgo vs Gorilas de Juanacatlan: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie BApertura - 5Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Gorilas de Juanacatlan the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Atletico Hidalgo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Hidalgo vs Gorilas de Juanacatlan?
Gorilas de Juanacatlan starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,888 vs 1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Hidalgo have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Gorilas de Juanacatlan have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Cordobés(home) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Deportivo Zap(away) | 0-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 18, 2026 | FC Santiago(away) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Real Apodaca(away) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(away) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(home) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Acambaro(home) | 4-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Acambaro(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Acambaro(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Hidalgo score 0.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gorilas de Juanacatlan score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Hidalgo | 0.7 | 2.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Gorilas de Juanacatlan | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Hidalgo vs Gorilas de Juanacatlan?
- The Footlab model makes Gorilas de Juanacatlan the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Atletico Hidalgo.
- Where and when is Atletico Hidalgo vs Gorilas de Juanacatlan played?
- Atletico Hidalgo vs Gorilas de Juanacatlan is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.