Atlético Monzón vs Fraga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Isidro Calderón, Monzón
The Footlab model makes Atlético Monzón the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Fraga. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Monzón vs Fraga?
Atlético Monzón starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,683).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Monzón have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Fraga have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 30, 2026 | Cuarte(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 24, 2026 | Épila(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 16, 2026 | Épila(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 10, 2026 | Cuarte(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Almudévar(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 4, 2025 | Andorra CF(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Binéfar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Zuera(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Huesca II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atlético Monzón win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Fraga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Atlético Monzón 0-1 Fraga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Fraga 0-3 Atlético Monzón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Atlético Monzón 0-1 Fraga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Fraga 0-1 Atlético Monzón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Fraga 1-0 Atlético Monzón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Atlético Monzón 3-1 Fraga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Monzón vs Fraga on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Monzón score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fraga score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Monzón | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Fraga | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atlético Monzón | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 37 | 73 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Monzón vs Fraga?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Monzón the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Fraga.
- Where and when is Atlético Monzón vs Fraga played?
- Atlético Monzón vs Fraga is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Isidro Calderón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.