Atlético Monzón vs Illueca: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Isidro Calderón, Monzón
The Footlab model makes Atlético Monzón the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Illueca. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Monzón vs Illueca?
Atlético Monzón starts as the favourite with a 252-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,674).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Monzón have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Illueca have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 30, 2026 | Cuarte(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 24, 2026 | Épila(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 16, 2026 | Épila(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 10, 2026 | Cuarte(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | CDJ Tamarite(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Monzón(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Almudévar(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cariñena(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Calamocha(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atlético Monzón win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Illueca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Illueca 2-3 Atlético Monzón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Atlético Monzón 3-1 Illueca | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Atlético Monzón 0-2 Illueca | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Illueca 0-0 Atlético Monzón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Illueca 2-2 Atlético Monzón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Nov 1, 2022 | Atlético Monzón 2-1 Illueca | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
Last archived meeting: Illueca vs Atlético Monzón on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Monzón score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Illueca score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Monzón | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Illueca | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Monzón sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (73 points from 34 matches) and Illueca sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atlético Monzón | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 37 | 73 |
| 12 | Illueca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 51 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Monzón vs Illueca?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Monzón the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Illueca.
- Where and when is Atlético Monzón vs Illueca played?
- Atlético Monzón vs Illueca is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Isidro Calderón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.