Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima: result 4-3 and analysis
Primera AApertura - 5Kick-off on March 20, 2025 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
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What was the result of Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?
Atletico Nacional won 4-3 on March 20, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 8′E. CardonaAtletico Nacional (pen.)
- 15′G. LencinaDeportes Tolima
- 23′A. MorelosAtletico Nacional
- 32′Y. HurtadoDeportes Tolima
- 35′D. AsprillaAtletico Nacional
- 39′A. RománAtletico Nacional
- 57′G. LencinaDeportes Tolima
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Nacional have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Deportes Tolima have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Envigado(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Mar 10, 2025 | America de Cali(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 5-1 | Primera A |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 2-3 | Primera A |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Santa Fe(away) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Once Caldas(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Millonarios(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Feb 28, 2025 | FBC Melgar(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 24, 2025 | America de Cali(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico Nacional win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Deportes Tolima win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | Atletico Nacional 2-0 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 1-1 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 1-0 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Atletico Nacional 3-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Nov 9, 2023 | Atletico Nacional 2-3 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| May 18, 2023 | Deportes Tolima 2-2 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima on Dec 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Nacional score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Tolima score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Deportes Tolima | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Nacional sit 1st in Primera A (40 points from 19 matches) and Deportes Tolima sit 6th (31 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 31 |
| 11 | Atletico Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 15, 2025America de Cali2-0Santa Fe
- Feb 16, 2025Millonarios0-1Independiente Medellin
- Feb 16, 2025Union Magdalena0-0Internacional de Bogota
- Feb 17, 2025Envigado0-1Deportivo Pasto
- Feb 18, 2025Fortaleza FC2-1Águilas Doradas
- Feb 18, 2025Bucaramanga0-0Alianza Valledupar
- Feb 18, 2025Llaneros0-1Deportivo Cali
- Feb 19, 2025Chico0-2Junior