Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto: result 3-2 and analysis
Primera AApertura - Quadrangular - 6Kick-off on June 18, 2023 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Full time
What was the result of Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto?
Atletico Nacional won 3-2 on June 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 20′T. ÁngelAtletico Nacional
- 26′D. LópezDeportivo Pasto
- 66′D. MorenoDeportivo Pasto
- 79′Jefferson DuqueAtletico Nacional
- 90′J. BarreraAtletico Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Nacional have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Deportivo Pasto have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2023 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Jun 9, 2023 | Olimpia(away) | 0-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Jun 2, 2023 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| May 28, 2023 | Alianza Valledupar(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2023 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 3-0 | Primera A |
| Jun 5, 2023 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jun 1, 2023 | Alianza Valledupar(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| May 28, 2023 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| May 20, 2023 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atletico Nacional win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Deportivo Pasto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2023 | Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2022 | Atletico Nacional 3-1 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| Feb 7, 2022 | Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Atletico Nacional 1-1 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Deportivo Pasto 0-0 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional on May 20, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Nacional score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Pasto score 1.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Deportivo Pasto | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Nacional sit 1st in Primera A (40 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Pasto sit 3rd (34 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 34 |
| 8 | Atletico Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy