Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera AClausura - Quadrangular - 5Kick-off on December 5, 2024 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
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What was the result of Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto?
Atletico Nacional won 2-1 on December 5, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 49′Á. AnguloAtletico Nacional
- 55′A. MorelosAtletico Nacional
- 86′K. LondoñoDeportivo Pasto (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Nacional have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Deportivo Pasto have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | Millonarios(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Millonarios(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Nov 21, 2024 | Santa Fe(home) | 5-0 | Primera A |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 0-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2024 | Santa Fe(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Santa Fe(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Millonarios(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Patriotas(home) | 3-2 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Atletico Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Deportivo Pasto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Atletico Nacional 1-0 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Atletico Nacional 2-0 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Atletico Nacional 3-2 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| May 20, 2023 | Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional on Nov 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Nacional score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Pasto score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Deportivo Pasto | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Nacional sit 1st in Primera A (40 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Pasto sit 3rd (34 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 34 |
| 10 | Atletico Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy