Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC: result 4-1 and analysis
Primera AApertura - 5Kick-off on April 7, 2016 at 12:45 AM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
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What was the result of Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC?
Atletico Nacional won 4-1 on April 7, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 58′L. OspinaFortaleza FC
- 62′M. TorresAtletico Nacional
- 72′D. CastañedaAtletico Nacional
- 78′A. IbargüenAtletico Nacional
- 90′M. TorresAtletico Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Atletico Nacional have 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Fortaleza FC have 2, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2016 | Bucaramanga(home) | 7-0 | Primera A |
| Apr 1, 2016 | Millonarios(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Mar 27, 2016 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 20, 2016 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 5, 2016 | Chico(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2016 | Junior(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Mar 23, 2016 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 2-3 | Primera A |
| Mar 19, 2016 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 13, 2016 | Bucaramanga(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Mar 6, 2016 | Millonarios(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Nacional score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 10; Fortaleza FC score 0.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional | 2.3 | 0.7 | 5 | 4/10 | 6/10 |
| Fortaleza FC | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 5/10 | 4/10 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Nacional sit 1st in Primera A (40 points from 19 matches) and Fortaleza FC sit 15th (22 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 55 |
| 10 | Atletico Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Fortaleza FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2016Internacional de Bogota2-2Independiente Medellin
- Feb 20, 2016Deportivo Cali5-1Huila
- Feb 20, 2016Once Caldas3-2Deportes Tolima
- Feb 21, 2016Junior2-2Deportivo Pasto
- Feb 21, 2016Cortulua2-1Patriotas
- Feb 21, 2016Millonarios2-0Jaguares
- Feb 21, 2016Chico0-2Águilas Doradas
- Feb 21, 2016Bucaramanga1-1Alianza Valledupar