Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin: result 5-2 and analysis
Primera AClausura - 17Kick-off on October 26, 2025 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Full time
What was the result of Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin?
Atletico Nacional won 5-2 on October 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 14′M. HinestrozaAtletico Nacional
- 24′M. HinestrozaAtletico Nacional
- 35′F. FydriszewskiIndependiente Medellin
- 40′A. SarmientoAtletico Nacional
- 44′A. RománAtletico Nacional
- 45′F. ChaverraIndependiente Medellin (pen.)
- 63′W. TesilloAtletico Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Nacional have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Independiente Medellin have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | Once Caldas(home) | 2-0 | Copa Colombia |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-0 | Copa Colombia |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Chico(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | Santa Fe(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Fortaleza FC(home) | 3-1 | Primera A |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Once Caldas(away) | 5-1 | Primera A |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Santa Fe(away) | 3-0 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico Nacional win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Independiente Medellin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 3-3 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| May 4, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 1-1 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Atletico Nacional 1-1 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Independiente Medellin 1-0 Atletico Nacional | Copa Colombia |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Atletico Nacional 1-1 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Atletico Nacional 2-0 Independiente Medellin | Copa Colombia |
Last archived meeting: Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional on Sep 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Nacional score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente Medellin score 2.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Independiente Medellin | 2.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Nacional sit 1st in Primera A (40 points from 19 matches) and Independiente Medellin sit 11th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Atletico Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2025Alianza Valledupar2-0Internacional de Bogota
- Oct 24, 2025Fortaleza FC2-0Deportivo Pasto
- Oct 25, 2025America de Cali2-1Junior
- Oct 25, 2025Deportivo Pereira1-5Águilas Doradas
- Oct 25, 2025Envigado0-2Chico
- Oct 25, 2025Deportes Tolima2-1Deportivo Cali
- Oct 25, 2025Bucaramanga2-0Llaneros
- Oct 25, 2025Santa Fe0-1Millonarios