Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera AClausura - Quadrangular - 5Kick-off on December 4, 2025 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
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What was the result of Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin?
Atletico Nacional won 2-1 on December 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 25′J. RengifoAtletico Nacional
- 54′A. MorelosAtletico Nacional
- 90′F. FydriszewskiIndependiente Medellin (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Nacional have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Independiente Medellin have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Junior(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Junior(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Nov 21, 2025 | America de Cali(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Nov 16, 2025 | America de Cali(away) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | America de Cali(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Nov 27, 2025 | America de Cali(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Junior(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Nov 14, 2025 | America de Cali(home) | 3-0 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico Nacional win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Independiente Medellin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 0-0 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Atletico Nacional 5-2 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 3-3 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| May 4, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 1-1 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Atletico Nacional 1-1 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Independiente Medellin 1-0 Atletico Nacional | Copa Colombia |
Last archived meeting: Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional on Nov 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Nacional score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente Medellin score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Independiente Medellin | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Nacional sit 1st in Primera A (40 points from 19 matches) and Independiente Medellin sit 11th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Atletico Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy