Where and when is Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC played?

Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC is played on September 30, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at TD Place Stadium, in the Canadian Premier League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on September 30, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, Ontario

Atlético Ottawa

Cavalry FC

The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Atlético Ottawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?

Cavalry FC starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,761).

Atlético Ottawa win32 %

Draw26 %

Cavalry FC win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Ottawa have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cavalry FC have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Ottawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cavalry FC(away)	1-3	Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026	Vancouver FC(home)	4-0	Canadian Premier League
Aug 16, 2026	Supra du Quebec(away)	2-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 11, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	3-3	Canadian Championship
Aug 8, 2026	HFX Wanderers FC(home)	2-1	Canadian Premier League

Cavalry FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Atlético Ottawa(home)	3-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026	Forge(home)	2-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 9, 2026	Supra du Quebec(away)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026	York United(home)	5-0	Canadian Premier League
Jul 29, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	2-1	Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atlético Ottawa win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cavalry FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cavalry FC 3-1 Atlético Ottawa	Canadian Premier League
Jul 4, 2026	Atlético Ottawa 0-3 Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League
Apr 12, 2026	Cavalry FC 3-1 Atlético Ottawa	Canadian Premier League
Nov 9, 2025	Atlético Ottawa 2-1 Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League
Sep 27, 2025	Atlético Ottawa 3-0 Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League
Aug 23, 2025	Atlético Ottawa 2-2 Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Ottawa score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cavalry FC score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atlético Ottawa	2.1	1.9	1	13/15	14/15
Cavalry FC	2.3	0.7	5	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlético Ottawa sit 3rd in Canadian Premier League (30 points from 19 matches) and Cavalry FC sit 2nd (40 points from 18 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Cavalry FC	18	12	4	2	36	11	40
3	Atlético Ottawa	19	9	3	7	32	33	30

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?: The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Atlético Ottawa.
Where and when is Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC played?: Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC is played on September 30, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at TD Place Stadium, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.