Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Munayşı, Atyrau
The Footlab AI model makes Yelimay Semey the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Atyrau. The most likely score is 1-1. If Yelimay Semey wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?
Yelimay Semey starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,615 vs 1,437).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atyrau
3-4-2-1- 44Đ. Maksimović
- 15E. Ofori
- 8M. Stanić
- 4R. Oyndamola
- 90Đ. Pantelić
- 20A. Buranchiev
- 9A. Abdulla
- 71F. Prce
- 17K. Kalmuratov
- 2E. Tkachenko
- 35N. Tokhtarov
Yelimay Semey
3-5-2- 77E. Placca
- 19A. Zhaksylykov
- 17A. Bakhtiyarov
- 44A. Tiuliubay
- 20A. Ashirbek
- 23H. Ilić
- 18R. Orazov
- 26S. Tanasijević
- 15M. Mittendorfer
- 4A. Zhumakhanov
- 32I. Konovalov
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 03:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atyrau have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Yelimay Semey have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Ordabasy(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kaisar(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FC Astana(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Okzhetpes(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Zhetysu(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | FC Astana(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kaspiy(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Atyrau wins, 1 draw, 1 Yelimay Semey win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 1-2 Atyrau | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Yelimay Semey 3-2 Atyrau | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Atyrau 2-1 Yelimay Semey | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Atyrau 1-0 Yelimay Semey | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Yelimay Semey 0-0 Atyrau | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atyrau score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Yelimay Semey score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atyrau | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Yelimay Semey | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atyrau sit 14th in Premier League (23 points from 24 matches) and Yelimay Semey sit 6th (38 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 38 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 25 | 23 |
A question about Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?
- The Footlab AI model makes Yelimay Semey the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Atyrau.
- Where and when is Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey played?
- Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey is played on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Munayşı, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.