Aucas vs El Nacional: result 2-0 and analysis
Liga Pro1° Turno - 6Kick-off on August 19, 2020 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
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What was the result of Aucas vs El Nacional?
Aucas won 2-0 on August 19, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 24′V. FigueroaAucas
- 90′Luis Miguel EscaladaAucas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; El Nacional have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2020 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Emelec(away) | 0-4 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 25, 2020 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 19, 2020 | Velez Sarsfield(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2020 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 2-4 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 10, 2020 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 29, 2020 | LDU de Quito(home) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 21, 2020 | Fenix(home) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aucas win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 El Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2019 | Aucas 0-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Feb 16, 2019 | El Nacional 1-3 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Jul 1, 2018 | El Nacional 1-2 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Mar 3, 2018 | Aucas 3-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| May 8, 2016 | El Nacional 1-1 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Mar 27, 2016 | Aucas 0-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; El Nacional score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| El Nacional | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aucas | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 26 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy