Aucas vs El Nacional: result 2-3 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 6Kick-off on March 8, 2015 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
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What was the result of Aucas vs El Nacional?
El Nacional won 2-3 on March 8, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 11′16596Aucas
- 16′Miguel Alesandro Álvarez ZambranoEl Nacional
- 36′H. SalaberryAucas
- 54′Miguel Alesandro Álvarez ZambranoEl Nacional
- 90′A. VillalvaEl Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; El Nacional have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2015 | LDU Loja(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 15, 2015 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 8, 2015 | LDU de Quito(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 31, 2015 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Nov 30, 2014 | Deportivo Azogues(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 21, 2015 | Barcelona SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 14, 2015 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 8, 2015 | LDU Loja(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 1, 2015 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; El Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| El Nacional | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy