Aucas vs Emelec: result 2-3 and analysis
Liga Pro1st Round - 2Kick-off on February 28, 2021 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
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What was the result of Aucas vs Emelec?
Emelec won 2-3 on February 28, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 23′J. QuiñónezAucas
- 43′S. RodríguezEmelec (pen.)
- 56′C. CueroAucas
- 62′F. BarcelóEmelec
- 78′Richard Alexander Mina CaicedoEmelec (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Emelec have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2021 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Dec 20, 2020 | LDU Portoviejo(away) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Dec 18, 2020 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Dec 14, 2020 | Barcelona SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Dec 9, 2020 | El Nacional(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2021 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 4-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 21, 2020 | CD Olmedo(home) | 4-1 | Liga Pro |
| Dec 17, 2020 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Dec 13, 2020 | El Nacional(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aucas win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Emelec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2020 | Aucas 1-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Emelec 4-0 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Jul 7, 2019 | Emelec 2-1 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Feb 10, 2019 | Aucas 0-2 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| May 6, 2018 | Aucas 2-0 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| May 1, 2018 | Emelec 1-0 Aucas | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Emelec score 2.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 15/15 | 13/15 |
| Emelec | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aucas sit 2nd in Liga Pro (44 points from 26 matches) and Emelec sit 13th (29 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy