Aucas vs Emelec: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga Pro1st Round - 5Kick-off on April 9, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
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What was the result of Aucas vs Emelec?
Aucas won 2-1 on April 9, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 16′R. OteroAucas
- 77′J. CifuenteAucas
- 90′J. CevallosEmelec
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Emelec have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | Flamengo(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Libertad(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 4-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 4, 2023 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 26, 2023 | El Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | Danubio(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Delfin SC(away) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 20, 2023 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 10, 2023 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Mar 6, 2023 | Orense SC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aucas win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Emelec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2022 | Aucas 1-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Emelec 0-2 Aucas | Copa Ecuador |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Emelec 1-0 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Aug 2, 2021 | Emelec 2-2 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Aucas 2-3 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Aucas 1-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Emelec score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Emelec | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aucas sit 4th in Liga Pro (41 points from 25 matches) and Emelec sit 13th (29 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aucas | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 26 | 41 |
| 13 | Emelec | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy