Aucas vs Ferroviarios: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga Pro Serie BRegular Season - 11Kick-off on April 27, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
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What was the result of Aucas vs Ferroviarios?
Aucas won 1-0 on April 27, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 11′252661Aucas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Ferroviarios have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Apr 14, 2013 | Deportivo Municipal(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Apr 7, 2013 | Deportivo Espoli(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Mar 31, 2013 | Ind. Juniors(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Mar 24, 2013 | Imbabura(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | Deportivo Azogues(home) | 3-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Apr 13, 2013 | Grecia(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Apr 6, 2013 | CD Olmedo(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Mar 30, 2013 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Mar 23, 2013 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 10; Ferroviarios score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 5/10 | 4/10 |
| Ferroviarios | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy