Aucas vs Ferroviarios: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga Pro Serie BRegular Season - 11Kick-off on April 27, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
Full time
What was the result of Aucas vs Ferroviarios?
Aucas won 1-0 on April 27, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 11′252661Aucas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Ferroviarios have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Apr 14, 2013 | Deportivo Municipal(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Apr 7, 2013 | Deportivo Espoli(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Mar 31, 2013 | Ind. Juniors(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Mar 24, 2013 | Imbabura(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | Deportivo Azogues(home) | 3-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Apr 13, 2013 | Grecia(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Apr 6, 2013 | CD Olmedo(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Mar 30, 2013 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Mar 23, 2013 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 10; Ferroviarios score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 5/10 | 4/10 |
| Ferroviarios | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy