Auchinleck Talbot vs Cumnock Juniors: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Beechwood Park, Auchinleck
The Footlab model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 74%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Cumnock Juniors. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auchinleck Talbot vs Cumnock Juniors?
Auchinleck Talbot starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,741 vs 1,587).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auchinleck Talbot have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Cumnock Juniors have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albion Rovers(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Beith(home) | 7-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Newton Stewart(away) | 9-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Celtic II(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Largs Thistle(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caledonian Braves(away) | 3-6 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Beith(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Albion Rovers(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Auchinleck Talbot win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Cumnock Juniors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2025 | Auchinleck Talbot 2-1 Cumnock Juniors | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Auchinleck Talbot vs Cumnock Juniors on Sep 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Auchinleck Talbot score 3.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cumnock Juniors score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auchinleck Talbot | 3.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Cumnock Juniors | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auchinleck Talbot sit 1st in Football League - Lowland League (15 points from 6 matches) and Cumnock Juniors sit 21st (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auchinleck Talbot | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 15 |
| 21 | Cumnock Juniors | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auchinleck Talbot vs Cumnock Juniors?
- The Footlab model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 74%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Cumnock Juniors.
- Where and when is Auchinleck Talbot vs Cumnock Juniors played?
- Auchinleck Talbot vs Cumnock Juniors is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Beechwood Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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