Auchinleck Talbot vs Kilwinning Rangers: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Beechwood Park, Auchinleck
The Footlab model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 53%, against 20% for a draw and 27% for Kilwinning Rangers. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auchinleck Talbot vs Kilwinning Rangers?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Auchinleck Talbot (1,738) and Kilwinning Rangers (1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auchinleck Talbot have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Kilwinning Rangers have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albion Rovers(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Beith(home) | 7-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Newton Stewart(away) | 9-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Largs Thistle(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Albion Rovers(home) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gretna 2008(away) | 5-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beith(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Auchinleck Talbot score 3.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kilwinning Rangers score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auchinleck Talbot | 3.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Kilwinning Rangers | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auchinleck Talbot sit 1st in Football League - Lowland League (15 points from 6 matches) and Kilwinning Rangers sit 2nd (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auchinleck Talbot | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Kilwinning Rangers | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auchinleck Talbot vs Kilwinning Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 53%, against 20% for a draw and 27% for Kilwinning Rangers.
- Where and when is Auchinleck Talbot vs Kilwinning Rangers played?
- Auchinleck Talbot vs Kilwinning Rangers is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Beechwood Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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