Auerbach vs Dresden II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 4Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Arena zur Vogtlandweide, Auerbach
The Footlab model makes Auerbach the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Dresden II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auerbach vs Dresden II?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Auerbach (1,805) and Dresden II (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auerbach have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Dresden II have 1, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Plauen(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfL Halle(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Bayreuth(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Budissa Bautzen(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | SC Freital(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eilenburg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SC Freital(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lichtenberg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Auerbach score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dresden II score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auerbach | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Dresden II | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1 | 2/3 | 0/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auerbach sit 10th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (3 points from 2 matches) and Dresden II sit 8th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dresden II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Auerbach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auerbach vs Dresden II?
- The Footlab model makes Auerbach the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Dresden II.
- Where and when is Auerbach vs Dresden II played?
- Auerbach vs Dresden II is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Arena zur Vogtlandweide, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.