Auerbach vs SC Freital: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 20Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Arena zur Vogtlandweide, Auerbach
The Footlab model makes Auerbach the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for SC Freital. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auerbach vs SC Freital?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Auerbach (1,810) and SC Freital (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auerbach have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; SC Freital have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Plauen(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfL Halle(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Bayreuth(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Budissa Bautzen(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | SC Freital(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Frankfurt(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dresden II(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Auerbach(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 10, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Auerbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 SC Freital win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | SC Freital 2-0 Auerbach | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Auerbach 3-0 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Auerbach 1-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 24, 2024 | SC Freital 1-2 Auerbach | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jun 2, 2024 | SC Freital 1-3 Auerbach | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Auerbach 5-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: SC Freital vs Auerbach on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Auerbach score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freital score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auerbach | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| SC Freital | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auerbach sit 10th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (3 points from 2 matches) and SC Freital sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SC Freital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Auerbach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auerbach vs SC Freital?
- The Footlab model makes Auerbach the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for SC Freital.
- Where and when is Auerbach vs SC Freital played?
- Auerbach vs SC Freital is played on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Arena zur Vogtlandweide, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.