Auersmacher vs Ahrweiler: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Saar-Blies-Stadion, Kleinblittersdorf
The Footlab model makes Auersmacher the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auersmacher vs Ahrweiler?
Auersmacher starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,692 vs 1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auersmacher have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Ahrweiler have 0, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wormatia Worms(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hertha Wiesbach(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 7, 2026 | TuS Koblenz(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| May 30, 2026 | Gonsenheim(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RW Wittlich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Schott Mainz(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Auersmacher score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auersmacher | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Ahrweiler | 0.7 | 2.4 | 0 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auersmacher sit 11th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (6 points from 4 matches) and Ahrweiler sit 17th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Auersmacher | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 17 | Ahrweiler | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auersmacher vs Ahrweiler?
- The Footlab model makes Auersmacher the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Ahrweiler.
- Where and when is Auersmacher vs Ahrweiler played?
- Auersmacher vs Ahrweiler is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Saar-Blies-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027PirmasensvsRW Wittlich
- May 8, 2027TuS RW KoblenzvsGau-Odernheim
- May 8, 2027Cosmos KoblenzvsTuS Koblenz
- May 8, 2027FC Emmelshausen-KarbachvsWormatia Worms
- May 8, 2027FV Engers 07vsHertha Wiesbach
- May 8, 2027Schott MainzvsMechtersheim
- May 8, 2027EisbachtalvsDiefflen
- May 9, 2027Elversberg IIvsGonsenheim