Match

Auersmacher vs Ahrweiler: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Saar-Blies-Stadion, Kleinblittersdorf

AuersmacherAhrweiler

The Footlab model makes Auersmacher the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Auersmacher vs Ahrweiler?

Auersmacher starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,692 vs 1,504).

Auersmacher win52 %
Draw22 %
Ahrweiler win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auersmacher have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Ahrweiler have 0, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Auersmacher
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wormatia Worms(away)2-1Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 14, 2026Hertha Wiesbach(home)2-1Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 7, 2026TuS Koblenz(away)0-4Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 1, 2026Gau-Odernheim(home)1-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
May 30, 2026Gonsenheim(home)1-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Ahrweiler
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gau-Odernheim(away)1-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 14, 2026FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home)2-3Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 8, 2026RW Wittlich(away)0-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 2, 2026Schott Mainz(home)0-3Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Jul 25, 2026Eintracht Trier(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Auersmacher score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Auersmacher1.32.329/1512/15
Ahrweiler0.72.404/74/7

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Auersmacher sit 11th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (6 points from 4 matches) and Ahrweiler sit 17th (0 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Auersmacher4202586
17Ahrweiler40043100

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Auersmacher vs Ahrweiler?
The Footlab model makes Auersmacher the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Ahrweiler.
Where and when is Auersmacher vs Ahrweiler played?
Auersmacher vs Ahrweiler is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Saar-Blies-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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