Aurora vs Carchá: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionApertura - 5Kick-off on September 1, 2018 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
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What was the result of Aurora vs Carchá?
Aurora won 2-1 on September 1, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Carchá have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2018 | Blooming(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Mixco(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Nacional Potosí(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Mictlán(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 14, 2018 | Sport Boys(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2018 | Deportivo Jocotán(home) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Universidad San Carlos(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Sansare(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 4, 2018 | Comunicaciones II(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| May 13, 2018 | Iztapa(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Carchá score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Carchá | 1.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy