Aurora vs Carchá: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionClausura - 3Kick-off on February 1, 2020 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio del Ejército, Ciudad de Guatemala
Full time
What was the result of Aurora vs Carchá?
Carchá won 0-1 on February 1, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Carchá have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2020 | Mictlán(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Comunicaciones II(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Marquense(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 8, 2019 | Marquense(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Carchá(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2020 | Sacachispas(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Deportivo Petapa(away) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Achuapa(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Achuapa(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Sacachispas(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aurora win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Carchá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2019 | Carchá 1-0 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Aurora 1-0 Carchá | Primera Division |
| May 6, 2018 | Carchá 3-0 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Mar 3, 2018 | Aurora 1-1 Carchá | Primera Division |
| Nov 12, 2017 | Carchá 4-0 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Sep 16, 2017 | Aurora 2-1 Carchá | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carchá score 0.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Carchá | 0.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy