Aurora vs Carchá: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionClausuraKick-off on March 3, 2018 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio del Ejército, Ciudad de Guatemala
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What was the result of Aurora vs Carchá?
Aurora and Carchá drew 1-1 on March 3, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Carchá have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2018 | Quirigua(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Feb 17, 2018 | Sacachispas(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Feb 11, 2018 | Sansare(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Feb 3, 2018 | Mixco(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jan 31, 2018 | Deportivo Jocotán(home) | 3-2 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2018 | Mictlán(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Feb 17, 2018 | Comunicaciones II(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Feb 11, 2018 | Universidad San Carlos(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Feb 4, 2018 | Deportivo Jocotán(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Jan 31, 2018 | Quirigua(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aurora win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Carchá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2017 | Carchá 4-0 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Sep 16, 2017 | Aurora 2-1 Carchá | Primera Division |
| May 8, 2016 | Carchá 1-0 Aurora | Primera Division |
| May 4, 2016 | Aurora 2-1 Carchá | Primera Division |
| Mar 9, 2016 | Aurora 1-1 Carchá | Primera Division |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Carchá 3-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carchá score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Carchá | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy