Aurora vs Heredia: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionClausura - 10Kick-off on March 2, 2024 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Ciudad de Guatemala
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What was the result of Aurora vs Heredia?
Aurora won 2-1 on March 2, 2024.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Heredia have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | Mictlán(home) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Deportivo Barberena(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fraijanes(home) | 4-0 | Primera Division |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Sacachispas(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Juventud Pinulteca(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | Universidad San Carlos(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Feb 21, 2024 | San Benito(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Mictlán(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Deportivo Barberena(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Fraijanes(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Aurora win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Heredia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | Heredia 1-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Aurora 3-1 Heredia | Primera Division |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Heredia 1-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Heredia 1-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Dec 3, 2015 | Aurora 0-1 Heredia | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Heredia score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Heredia | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy