Aurora vs Heredia: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionApertura - Semi-finalsKick-off on December 3, 2015 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Trébol, Ciudad de Guatemala
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What was the result of Aurora vs Heredia?
Heredia won 0-1 on December 3, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Heredia have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2015 | Iztapa(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 25, 2015 | Iztapa(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Carchá(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Nov 15, 2015 | Sayaxché(away) | 2-3 | Primera Division |
| Nov 7, 2015 | Mixco(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2015 | Mixco(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Nov 25, 2015 | Mixco(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Iztapa(away) | 2-3 | Primera Division |
| Nov 15, 2015 | Deportivo Chiantla(home) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 1, 2015 | Barillas(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Heredia score 2.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Heredia | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Aurora vs Heredia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy