Aurora vs Heredia: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionApertura - Semi-finalsKick-off on December 3, 2015 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Trébol, Ciudad de Guatemala
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What was the result of Aurora vs Heredia?
Heredia won 0-1 on December 3, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Heredia have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2015 | Iztapa(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 25, 2015 | Iztapa(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Carchá(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Nov 15, 2015 | Sayaxché(away) | 2-3 | Primera Division |
| Nov 7, 2015 | Mixco(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2015 | Mixco(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Nov 25, 2015 | Mixco(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Iztapa(away) | 2-3 | Primera Division |
| Nov 15, 2015 | Deportivo Chiantla(home) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 1, 2015 | Barillas(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Heredia score 2.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Heredia | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy