Aurora vs Mictlán: result 4-3 and analysis
Primera DivisionApertura - Semi-finalsKick-off on November 17, 2024 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Ciudad de Guatemala
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What was the result of Aurora vs Mictlán?
Aurora won 4-3 on November 17, 2024.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Mictlán have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | Santa Lucía(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Santa Lucía(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Iztapa(away) | 3-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Iztapa(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Chiquimulilla(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | Nueva Concepción(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Nueva Concepción(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Gualan(home) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 20, 2024 | San Benito(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Santa Lucía(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Aurora win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mictlán win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Aurora 0-1 Mictlán | Primera Division |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Mictlán 2-3 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Mictlán 1-0 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Aurora 4-1 Mictlán | Primera Division |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Aurora 2-1 Mictlán | Primera Division |
| Aug 24, 2023 | Mictlán 0-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mictlán score 1.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Mictlán | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy