Aurora vs Mictlán: result 3-2 and analysis
Liga NacionalApertura - 10Kick-off on October 22, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio del Ejército, Ciudad de Guatemala
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What was the result of Aurora vs Mictlán?
Aurora won 3-2 on October 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 5′E. MonroyMictlán
- 40′E. IbarguenAurora
- 72′D. RuizAurora
- 86′N. LovatoMictlán (o.g.)
- 90′A. GalindoAurora (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Mictlán have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Achuapa(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Marquense(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Municipal(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Guastatoya(away) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Mixco(away) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Antigua GFC(home) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Xelajú(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Malacateco(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Comunicaciones(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Cobán Imperial(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aurora win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Mictlán win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Mictlán 2-2 Aurora | Primera Division |
| May 17, 2025 | Aurora 2-0 Mictlán | Primera Division |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Mictlán 1-0 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Aurora 0-1 Mictlán | Primera Division |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Mictlán 2-0 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Aurora 4-3 Mictlán | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mictlán score 0.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Mictlán | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aurora sit 11th in Liga Nacional (20 points from 22 matches) and Mictlán sit 9th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mictlán | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 36 | 27 |
| 11 | Aurora | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 20 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy