Aurora vs Universidad San Carlos: result 3-2 and analysis
Primera DivisionApertura - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2018 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
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What was the result of Aurora vs Universidad San Carlos?
Aurora won 3-2 on September 29, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Universidad San Carlos have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2018 | Sansare(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Club Destroyers(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 20, 2018 | Jorge Wilstermann(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 16, 2018 | Guabirá(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Comunicaciones II(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2018 | Deportivo Jocotán(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 16, 2018 | Achuapa(away) | 2-4 | Primera Division |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Sansare(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Comunicaciones II(home) | 1-5 | Primera Division |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Sacachispas(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad San Carlos score 1.1 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Universidad San Carlos | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy