Australia U17 W vs Chile U17 W: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17 - WomenWorld Cup Women U17 - 1Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Australia U17 W the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Chile U17 W. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Australia U17 W vs Chile U17 W?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Australia U17 W (1,512) and Chile U17 W (1,526).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Australia U17 W have 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Chile U17 W have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Japan U17 W(away) | 0-4 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 11, 2026 | Vietnam U17 W(away) | 2-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 8, 2026 | Japan U17 W(away) | 0-5 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 5, 2026 | Lebanon U17 W(away) | 1-1 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 2, 2026 | India U17 W(home) | 2-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | United States W U17(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Women |
| May 24, 2025 | Peru U17 W(away) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL - U17 Femenino |
| May 21, 2025 | Brazil U17 W(away) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL - U17 Femenino |
| May 18, 2025 | Colombia U17 W(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL - U17 Femenino |
| May 15, 2025 | Paraguay U17 W(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL - U17 Femenino |
How many goals should we expect?
Australia U17 W score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 8; Chile U17 W score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia U17 W | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 3/8 | 5/8 |
| Chile U17 W | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Australia U17 W vs Chile U17 W?
- The Footlab model makes Australia U17 W the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Chile U17 W.
- Where and when is Australia U17 W vs Chile U17 W played?
- Australia U17 W vs Chile U17 W is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the World Cup - U17 - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.