Avai vs America Mineiro: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 19Kick-off on July 21, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina
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What was the result of Avai vs America Mineiro?
Avai won 2-1 on July 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 39′Paulo VictorAmerica Mineiro
- 87′Daniel PenhaAvai (pen.)
- 88′ThayllonAvai
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Avai win at 47%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avai have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; America Mineiro have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | São Bernardo(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Nautico Recife(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Cuiaba(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Ceara(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Londrina(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Operario-PR(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Avai win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 America Mineiro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2025 | America Mineiro 2-0 Avai | Serie B |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Avai 3-0 America Mineiro | Serie B |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Avai 2-2 America Mineiro | Serie B |
| Jun 26, 2024 | America Mineiro 1-1 Avai | Serie B |
| Jul 31, 2022 | America Mineiro 3-1 Avai | Serie A |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Avai 1-0 America Mineiro | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: America Mineiro vs Avai on Sep 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Avai score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; America Mineiro score 0.9 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avai | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| America Mineiro | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avai sit 16th in Serie B (29 points from 24 matches) and America Mineiro sit 19th (11 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Avai | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 29 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 42 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy