Avai vs Ponte Preta: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 12Kick-off on July 19, 2014 at 12:50 AM (UTC)Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Avai vs Ponte Preta?
Avai won 1-0 on July 19, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 58′Thiago Carletti AlvesAvai
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avai have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ponte Preta have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2014 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 7, 2014 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 4, 2014 | Icasa(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| May 30, 2014 | ABC(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| May 28, 2014 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2014 | Portuguesa(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 3, 2014 | Santa Cruz(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| May 31, 2014 | BOA(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| May 27, 2014 | Parana(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| May 24, 2014 | Ceara(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Avai score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ponte Preta score 1.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avai | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Ponte Preta | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avai sit 16th in Serie B (29 points from 24 matches) and Ponte Preta sit 20th (10 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Avai | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 50 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy