Aveley vs Dartford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Dartford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aveley vs Dartford?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Aveley (1,878) and Dartford (1,873).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Dartford have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ashford United(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Aveley win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dartford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Dartford 2-0 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Aveley 1-1 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Dartford 1-2 Aveley | National League - South |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Aveley 0-1 Dartford | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dartford score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Dartford | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aveley sit 6th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Dartford sit 5th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dartford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Aveley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Dartford?
- The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Dartford.
- Where and when is Aveley vs Dartford played?
- Aveley vs Dartford is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026LeatherheadvsStanway Rovers
- Oct 31, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsRamsgate
- Oct 31, 2026WhitehawkvsSt Albans City
- Oct 31, 2026Brentwood TownvsCray Wanderers
- Oct 31, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsEnfield Town
- Oct 31, 2026WhyteleafevsDulwich Hamlet
- Oct 31, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsThree Bridges
- Oct 31, 2026CheshuntvsChatham Town