Aveley vs Dartford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Dartford the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Aveley. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aveley vs Dartford?
On Elo ratings, Aveley has 1,846 points and Dartford 1,935.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aveley vs Dartford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aveley
Not enough data to predict the Aveley lineup.
Dartford
Not enough data to predict the Dartford lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Dartford have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ware(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Ramsgate(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tadley Calleva(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Leiston(away) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Aveley win, 1 draw, 2 Dartford wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Dartford 2-0 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Aveley 1-1 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Dartford 1-2 Aveley | National League - South |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Aveley 0-1 Dartford | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Aveley score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dartford score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveley | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Dartford | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aveley sit 17th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (11 points from 11 matches) and Dartford sit 4th (24 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dartford | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 24 |
| 17 | Aveley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Aveley vs Dartford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Dartford?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dartford the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Aveley.
- Where and when is Aveley vs Dartford played?
- Aveley vs Dartford is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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