Avondale vs Hume City: result 3-2 and analysis
Victoria NPLRegular Season - 3Kick-off on March 4, 2023 at 04:15 AM (UTC)Avondale Park, Carrigaline
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What was the result of Avondale vs Hume City?
Avondale won 3-2 on March 4, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 6′Joseph KatebianAvondale (pen.)
- 37′Y. MustafaHume City
- 45′Zander GuyAvondale
- 67′Jawad RezaiHume City
- 74′Liam BolandAvondale (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avondale have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hume City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Altona Magic(home) | 3-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Port Melbourne(away) | 2-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 21, 2022 | South Melbourne(home) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 17, 2022 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Heidelberg United(away) | 4-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | Heidelberg United(home) | 1-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Altona Magic(away) | 1-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Broadbeach United(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Oakleigh Cannons(away) | 1-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Dandenong Thunder(home) | 2-1 | Victoria NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Avondale win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Hume City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2022 | Avondale 4-3 Hume City | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Hume City 0-3 Avondale | Victoria NPL |
| May 8, 2021 | Avondale 3-3 Hume City | Victoria NPL |
| Jul 13, 2019 | Avondale 3-0 Hume City | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Hume City 1-1 Avondale | Victoria NPL |
Last archived meeting: Avondale vs Hume City on Jun 11, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Avondale score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hume City score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avondale | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Hume City | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avondale sit 4th in Victoria NPL (44 points from 25 matches) and Hume City sit 3rd (49 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hume City | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 51 | 34 | 49 |
| 4 | Avondale | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 63 | 34 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy