Axi Adunații-Copăceni vs Cetatea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Baza Sportivă Mihăilești Teren Sintetic, Mihăilești
The Footlab model makes Cetatea the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Axi Adunații-Copăceni. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Axi Adunații-Copăceni vs Cetatea?
Cetatea starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,511 vs 1,312).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Axi Adunații-Copăceni have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Cetatea have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bolintin Vale(away) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Progresul Spartac(home) | 0-8 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 9, 2026 | Oltul Curtişoara(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 1, 2026 | Alexandria(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | CSL Nanov(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 2, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Axi Adunații-Copăceni win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Cetatea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Cetatea 2-1 Axi Adunații-Copăceni | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni 0-2 Cetatea | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni 1-2 Cetatea | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Cetatea vs Axi Adunații-Copăceni on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Axi Adunații-Copăceni score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cetatea score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axi Adunații-Copăceni | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Cetatea | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Axi Adunații-Copăceni sit 5th in Liga III - Serie 5 (22 points from 6 matches) and Cetatea sit 2nd (43 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cetatea | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 41 | 19 | 43 |
| 5 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Axi Adunații-Copăceni vs Cetatea?
- The Footlab model makes Cetatea the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Axi Adunații-Copăceni.
- Where and when is Axi Adunații-Copăceni vs Cetatea played?
- Axi Adunații-Copăceni vs Cetatea is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Baza Sportivă Mihăilești Teren Sintetic, in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.