Axiopolis vs Agricola Borcea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Ideal Cernavodă, Cernavodă
The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Axiopolis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Axiopolis vs Agricola Borcea?
Agricola Borcea starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,519 vs 1,373).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Axiopolis have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Agricola Borcea have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(home) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Agigea(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | FCSB II(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(home) | 1-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Olimpic Zărneşti(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 6-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Axiopolis win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Agricola Borcea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Axiopolis 1-3 Agricola Borcea | Cupa României |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Agricola Borcea 3-1 Axiopolis | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Axiopolis 1-4 Agricola Borcea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 24, 2025 | Agricola Borcea 1-0 Axiopolis | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Axiopolis 5-1 Agricola Borcea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Agricola Borcea 1-2 Axiopolis | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Axiopolis vs Agricola Borcea on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Axiopolis score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Agricola Borcea score 2.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axiopolis | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Agricola Borcea | 2.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Axiopolis vs Agricola Borcea?
- The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Axiopolis.
- Where and when is Axiopolis vs Agricola Borcea played?
- Axiopolis vs Agricola Borcea is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Ideal Cernavodă, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.