Aylesbury United vs Heybridge Swifts: result 1-2 and analysis
FA TrophyPreliminary RoundKick-off on October 3, 2015 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire
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What was the result of Aylesbury United vs Heybridge Swifts?
Heybridge Swifts won 1-2 on October 3, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Aylesbury United have 4 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Heybridge Swifts have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2015 | Northwood(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 19, 2014 | Thamesmead Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Aylesbury(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Ramsgate(home) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 6, 2013 | Faversham Town(home) | 4-2 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2015 | Uxbridge(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Redbridge(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 25, 2014 | Lewes(home) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 19, 2014 | Lewes(away) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 1, 2014 | South Park(away) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Aylesbury United score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 11; Heybridge Swifts score 2.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aylesbury United | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/11 | 8/11 |
| Heybridge Swifts | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy