Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
The Footlab AI model makes Ayr Utd the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Dunfermline. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ayr Utd wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Ayr Utd (1,708) and Dunfermline (1,760).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ayr Utd
3-4-3- 12Olly Whyte
- 7O. Stirton
- 11R. Taylor
- 6R. Lyon
- 33S. McMann
- 32D. Watret
- 20L. McBeth
- 5K. Holt
- 3L. Dick
- 8L. King
- 1H. Stone
Dunfermline
3-4-3- 26A. Tod
- 99O. Adams
- 33J. Cooper
- 47R. Fraser
- 14A. Amade
- 24D. Lobban
- 19Allan Oyirwoth
- 6N. Abdulai
- 15S. Harding
- 25A. Donnelly
- 1A. Oxborough
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Dunfermline have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ayr Utd(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Morton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Arbroath(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ayr Utd wins, 2 draws, 2 Dunfermline wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ayr Utd 1-1 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunfermline 1-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Ayr Utd 0-3 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Dunfermline 2-3 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Ayr Utd 0-1 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Dunfermline 0-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dunfermline score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Dunfermline | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayr Utd sit 7th in Championship (12 points from 10 matches) and Dunfermline sit 5th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ayr Utd the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Dunfermline.
- Where and when is Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline played?
- Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Somerset Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.