Ayutthaya FC vs Chonburi FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 27Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ayutthaya Stadium, Ayutthaya
The Footlab model makes Ayutthaya FC the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Chonburi FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayutthaya FC vs Chonburi FC?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Ayutthaya FC (1,602) and Chonburi FC (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayutthaya FC have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Chonburi FC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 0-5 | FA Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Kanchanaburi(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Muangthong United(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 3-4 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Ayutthaya FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Chonburi FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Chonburi FC 0-1 Ayutthaya FC | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Ayutthaya FC 1-2 Chonburi FC | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Chonburi FC 2-2 Ayutthaya FC | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Ayutthaya FC 1-1 Chonburi FC | Thai League 2 |
| Jun 21, 2017 | Ayutthaya FC 3-2 Chonburi FC | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Chonburi FC vs Ayutthaya FC on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ayutthaya FC score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chonburi FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayutthaya FC | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Chonburi FC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayutthaya FC sit 10th in Thai League 1 (32 points from 30 matches) and Chonburi FC sit 8th (39 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chonburi FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 41 | 39 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya FC | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 50 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayutthaya FC vs Chonburi FC?
- The Footlab model makes Ayutthaya FC the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Chonburi FC.
- Where and when is Ayutthaya FC vs Chonburi FC played?
- Ayutthaya FC vs Chonburi FC is played on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ayutthaya Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.